Democrats hold an eight-point lead over Republicans on the generic ballot less than two months before November’s midterm elections, according to a new American Barometer survey.
The poll, conducted by Hill.TV and the HarrisX polling company found that 44 percent of voters said they would vote for the Democratic candidate in their district, while 36 percent said they would vote for the Republican candidate.
Fourteen percent of respondents said they had not yet made a decision.
Democrats had maintained double-digit leads over Republicans in previous American Barometer polling conducted in August, but a recent American Barometer survey conducted on September 8-9 found that the Democratic lead shrunk to 5 points.
“Whatever party that is out of power tends to be a little more excited in the summer, and that, after we get past Labor Day, it just evens out regardless of which side it was to start with,” Monmouth University Poll director Patrick Murphy told Hill.TV’s Joe Concha on “What America’s Thinking.”
“The overall numbers still favor the Democrats,” he added.
The Real Clear Politics poll average on the generic ballot on Wednesday also had Democrats with a roughly 8 point lead over Republicans.
The American Barometer was conducted on September 21-22 among 1,000 registered voters. The sampling margin or error is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
— Julia Manchester
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