Democrats lead by double digits in Arizona, Nevada Senate races: Fox News poll

Democrats are leading by double digits in Senate races in Nevada and Arizona, two battleground states that could be key to control of the upper chamber, according to new polls from Fox News.

Rep. Ruben Gallego, the Democratic Senate nominee in Arizona, is leading Republican candidate Kari Lake by 15 points, according to the poll. In Nevada, Sen. Jacky Rosen, the incumbent Democrat, is leading Republican Sam Brown by 14 points.

While the Democrats in Arizona and Nevada have opened significant gaps in their races, others in the party are still seen as being vulnerable in November, notably Sen. Jon Tester in Montana and Sen. Sherrod Brown in Ohio.

Democrats barely won the majority in the last election, and are expected to lose Sen. Joe Manchin’s seat in West Virginia, giving them little room for error in other battleground states.

Democrats in swing states have seen increased enthusiasm and energy in the wake of Vice President Harris launching her run for the presidency after President Biden left the race in late July.

The Fox News polls also found Harris leading former President Trump in Nevada by 2 points and Arizona by 1 point. Fox News found close races across key Sun Belt states, with leads in either direction falling within the margin of error.

Harris now has a slight edge on Trump according to most election forecasters, and has opened a 4.4 percent lead in an average of national polls from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ. Polls are yet to reflect what is often a bounce after the party’s convention.

Both Nevada and Arizona were seen as tipping toward Trump when Biden was still in the race, but are now rated as toss-ups by the Cook Political Report.

The Arizona and Nevada polls were taken Aug. 23-26, with 1,014 registered voters from Arizona and 1,026 registered voters from Nevada; both states have a margin of sampling error of 3 percentage points.