Casey up 4 points over McCormick in Senate reelection bid: Survey

Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey (D) is up 4 points in his Senate reelection bid over Republican rival David McCormick, according to a new survey.

The AARP poll found the incumbent Democrat garnering 49 percent support from likely voters to McCormick’s 45 percent, while 6 percent of likely voters said they were “undecided” or chose someone else.

The Pennsylvania Senate race between Casey and McCormick is one of multiple closely-watched races for the upper chamber this year, with Democrats trying to prevent Republicans from flipping it red.

In an average of Pennsylvania polls from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Casey is sitting at 47.9 percent support to McCormick’s 43.8 percent.

Pennsylvania isn’t just a key state for possibly determining who controls the Senate in this year’s election — it could also determine who wins the presidency.

The AARP survey found Vice President Harris up by 2 points over former President Trump in the Keystone State, with the vice president earning 49 percent support from likely voters. 

According to an average of Pennsylvania polls from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Harris is ahead of Trump in the Keystone by only 0.6 points.

The AARP survey took place Sept. 17-24, featuring 1,398 likely voters, 600 of them being part of a statewide representative sample, as well as 470 likely voters “50 and older” and 328 Black likely voters in the same age range as oversamples.

The statewide representative sample had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.