Poll: 62 percent say they will ‘absolutely’ vote in 2020 election

A majority — 62 percent of registered — say are “absolutely certain” about taking part in November’s election, according to a new Hill-HarrisX poll released on Thursday.

The nationwide poll also showed that 23 percent were “very likely” to vote in the upcoming presidential election, while 9 percent said it is possible they will vote and just 6 percent who said that they were “not very likely” to participate.

Though strong majorities across party lines said they planned to vote, Democrats were slightly more likely to say that they were heading to the ballot box.

Of those surveyed, 68 percent of Democratic voters said they would vote in November, compared to 64 percent of GOP voters and 54 percent of independent voters.

These results come as Democrats struggle to sort out the fallout from Monday’s Iowa caucuses, which were delayed by tech glitches and reporting inconsistencies.

According to a New York Times analysis, the results released Wednesday contain inconsistencies and errors that, in some cases, do not match what has been reportedly individual precincts.

Democratic National Committee Chairman Tom Perez, meanwhile, has called for a recanvass in the first-in-the-nation voting state.

“Enough is enough. In light of the problems that have emerged in the implementation of the delegate selection plan and in order to assure public confidence in the results, I am calling on the Iowa Democratic Party to immediately begin a recanvass,” Perez tweeted early Thursday afternoon.

Even though there’s no evidence that these inconsistencies were intentional, some pundits and lawmakers have said that the debacle should be a wake-up call for the general election. Amid the confusion over the Iowa results, a number of theories about the why results were delayed circulated online.

“This might be a great wake-up call,” said NBC cybersecurity analyst, Alex Stamos, director of the Stanford Internet Observatory and a former head of security at Facebook. “If it turns out that this disaster has very little long-term effect on the primary, it’s a great demonstration of what could go wrong on election night.”

The Hill-HarrisX poll was conducted online among 1,000 registered voters between Feb.4 and 5. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. 

—Tess Bonn


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