Harris, Trump neck and neck in 7 swing states: Poll

Vice President Harris and former President Trump are locked in tight contests in seven battleground states as the race for the White House enters the home stretch, according to polling released Thursday.

The survey from Emerson College Polling and The Hill found Trump edging out Harris in Arizona (49 percent to 48 percent); Georgia (50 percent to 47 percent); Pennsylvania (48 percent to 47 percent); and Wisconsin (49 percent to 48 percent.) 

The polling found Harris leading Trump in Michigan (49 percent to 47 percent) and North Carolina (49 percent to 48 percent). The candidates were tied at 48 percent in Nevada.  

The difference between the candidates in each state’s survey fell within their respective margin of error.  

When respondents were asked whom they expected to be president irrespective of their political preference, more respondents in each state answered Harris, though by varying margins.  

“There has been modest movement in the presidential election since the late August Emerson swing state polls before the presidential debate,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement.  

“In Arizona and North Carolina, Trump lost a point, and Harris gained a point. Trump’s support stayed the same in Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin, while Harris’ support decreased by a point in Michigan and Nevada, and stayed the same in Wisconsin. In Georgia, Trump gained two points and Harris lost two.” 

The economy was cited as the top issue among voters in each swing state. Immigration was ranked as the second top issue in Arizona, while threats to democracy ranked second in Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Housing affordability ranked second in Nevada and North Carolina.  

Separately, the polling also found Democrats in critical Senate and governor’s races outperforming their Republican counterparts. In the Senate races, Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) led Republican Kari Lake 48 percent to 42 percent, with 10 percent undecided. 

Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) led Republican former Rep. Mike Rogers (Mich.), 47 percent to 42 percent, in the Michigan Senate race, with 11 percent undecided. Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) led Republican Sam Brown 48 percent to 41 percent, in Nevada, with 9 percent undecided. 

Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) led Republican David McCormick 47 percent to 42 percent in Pennsylvania, with 12 percent undecided. In Wisconsin, incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) led Republican Eric Hovde 49 percent to 46 percent — a lead within the margin of error — with 5 percent undecided.

In the North Carolina governor’s race, state Attorney General Josh Stein (D) is ahead of Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson (R), 48 percent to 40 percent, with 10 percent undecided.  

The Emerson College Polling and The Hill’s Arizona poll surveyed 868 likely voters with a margin of error of 3.3 points. In Georgia, 975 likely voters were surveyed, with a margin of error of 3.1 points. In Michigan, 875 likely voters were surveyed, with a margin of error of 3.2 points. In Nevada, 895 likely voters were surveyed, with a margin of error of 3.2 points. In Pennsylvania, 880 likely voters were surveyed with a margin of error of 3.2 points. One thousand likely voters were surveyed in North Carolina and Wisconsin each, with a margin of error for each of 3 points.