Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) holds a 9-point lead over his Republican rival, celebrity physician Mehmet Oz, in the Pennsylvania Senate race, according to a new USA Today Network-Suffolk University poll.
The poll shows Fetterman with 46 percent support among likely voters in Pennsylvania, while Oz, whom former President Trump endorsed in April, comes in at 37 percent. Another 13 percent remain undecided in the race, with independents making up a plurality of those voters.
The survey shows Fetterman with an early edge in one of the closest-watched Senate races of the 2022 midterm election cycle and suggests that, at least for now, Democrats have a path to flipping the seat currently held by retiring Sen. Pat Toomey (R).
The poll does show that Republicans have begun to coalesce around Oz as their nominee in the days since his chief primary rival, former hedge fund CEO David McCormick, conceded the GOP nod to the Trump-backed doctor. Seventy-six percent of Republican voters say they support Oz in the general election.
Republican voters also appear more motivated than Democrats, with 73 percent of respondents who identified as GOP voters saying they are either “extremely” or “very” interested in the Senate race, compared to 68 percent of Democrats.
Among all voters, the economy remains the top issue in the election, which could bode poorly for Democrats at a time of rising inflation and fears of a looming recession.
In the race for Pennsylvania governor, things are tighter.
State Attorney General Josh Shapiro, the Democratic nominee, holds only a 4-point lead over his far-right Republican rival, state Sen. Doug Mastriano, with just under 13 percent of voters remaining undecided in the race.
That puts Shapiro’s advantage over Mastriano within the poll’s margin of error.
Mastriano is also entering the general election campaign with stronger support among GOP voters than Oz. Eighty-three percent of Republicans say they are backing him, while nearly as many Democrats — 82 percent — are supporting Shapiro.
The USA Today Network-Suffolk University poll surveyed 500 likely general election voters in Pennsylvania from June 10 to 13. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.