Campaign

Biden tops Trump by 4 points in new poll

President Biden has more support than former President Trump in a hypothetical rematch between the two party front-runners, but not by much, according to a poll released Wednesday.

Asked who they would vote for if the 2024 election were held today, the survey, conducted by the University of Virginia’s Center For Politics, shows Biden bringing in 52 percent support to Trump’s 48 — just a 4-point difference.

Respondents, however, generally did not approve of either candidate.

Biden received a 50 percent disapproval rating, and Trump’s was 53 percent. Despite the disapproval rating, respondents said they intend to vote along party lines in 2024.

When broken down by party, 88 percent of Democrat voters said they would be voting for Biden, while 90 percent of Republicans said they would choose Trump — if he is chosen as the GOP nominee. Independents were split; 49 percent said they would choose Biden, and 51 percent said their vote would go to Trump.


The survey also found progressive and conservative voters fall in line with the issues supported by their party’s candidate, while independents tend to favor Biden’s stance on the economy and social issues.

Voters remain deeply divided over the 2020 presidential election, the poll found. Only 25 percent of Trump supporters believe the 2020 election was secure, free of fraud and that Biden was the fair winner.

Many respondents said they were worried about the future of democracy in America; 31 percent of voters who would choose Trump think democracy is no longer a viable system for governance, while 24 percent of respondents who choose Biden think alternative forms of government should be explored, according to the survey.

Regardless of party, voters generally said they believe members of the opposite party being elected would “result in lasting harm to the United States.”

About 52 percent of Biden supporters say individuals who strongly support the Republican party are a threat to American life. On the other side, 47 percent of Trump supporters said the same about Democrats.

The survey was conducted from Aug. 25 to Sept. 11 with 2,008 registered voters. It has a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.