Campaign

Trump widens lead over Biden to 4 points in national survey

Former President Trump widened his lead against President Biden to 4 points in a hypothetical 2024 presidential match-up, according to a new poll.

The Emerson College Polling survey, released Wednesday, shows Trump holding on to his 47 percent support, while Biden’s fell from 45 to 43 percent. About 10 percent of voters in the poll were undecided.

The survey also found that if a third-party candidate were added to the hypothetical situation — such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West or Jill Stein — support for both Trump and Biden fell and the amount of undecided voters increased.

Biden’s dip in support is notable because at this time last year, he was leading Trump, Emerson College said in its report. The most significant decrease in backing for the president came from female voters.

“Last November, Biden led Trump by 4 points, whereas this November, he trails Trump by 4,” said Spencer Kimball, the executive director of Emerson College Polling. “Several key groups have shifted in the past year: Biden led at this time last year among women by 7 points, which has reduced to a point this year.”


The survey also found that Biden lost support from voters of color. Among Black voters, Biden lost 15 points, and among Hispanic or Latino voters, he lost 11 points.

The president also lost 13 points from voters under the age of 50, and he’s down 16 points among four-year college graduates, the pollsters found.

Generally, voters say they are excited about the 2024 presidential election. Only 36 percent said they were not.

Excitement varies on the basis of the candidate, Emerson College noted. Almost half, 46 percent, of Trump voters say they are very excited about the upcoming election, compared with only 29 percent of Biden voters.

When put up against GOP presidential candidate Nikki Haley, Biden and the former South Carolina governor come up tied with 38 percent support each. A quarter of voters said they were undecided.

The new survey was conducted Nov. 17-20 among 1,475 registered voters and has a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.