Trump holds lead over Biden in Wisconsin: Poll

Former President Trump holds a 5-point lead over President Biden in the critical battleground state of Wisconsin, according to a new poll. 

A poll by AARP, which was conducted by Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research, showed Trump ahead of Biden 50 percent support to 45 percent when the two are placed in a match-up against each other, with 4 percent of respondents undecided and 1 percent saying “other.”

When Trump and Biden are placed on the same ballot with independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and several other long-shot candidates, Trump leads Biden by 6 points, at 44 percent support to 38 percent. A separate 9 percent of respondents said they backed Kennedy. Five percent in that poll said they were undecided.

The AARP poll shows that Trump has a lead over Biden with both younger voters (those aged 18 to 49 years old) and older voters (aged 50 years and up). But Trump enjoys a greater lead over Biden among older voters (a 7-point lead on the full ballot, which includes Kennedy) than among younger voters, where Trump has a 4-point lead. 

At the same, the AARP poll showed Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) outpacing Republican Senate candidate Eric Hovde, underscoring a long-running trend of swing-state Senate Democrats outperforming Biden on their respective ballots. 

The poll showed Baldwin leading Hovde 50 percent support to 45 percent. Another 5 percent of respondents said they were undecided, while 1 percent said “other.”

The survey is another warning sign for Biden, particularly in Wisconsin, given the president has polled better in the Badger State compared to other swing states. But the survey suggests that his performance during the debate may have taken a hit with voters in the critical battleground state. 

The AARP poll was conducted between June 28 and July 2 with 600 likely voters sampled. The margin of error for the full sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points. Eight hundred voters aged 50 years and older were sampled, with a margin of error of 3.5 points.