Campaign

Harris takes 4-point lead in Pennsylvania; Casey up 5 on McCormick: poll

New Pennsylvania polling shows Democrats in the lead for both the presidential and Senate races in the state.

According to a survey released Tuesday by Susquehanna Polling, Vice President Harris has a 4-point lead over former President Trump.

Harris, who entered the race just more than a week ago after President Biden suspended his campaign, earns 47 percent support among Pennsylvania voters. Trump is close behind with 43 percent.

Three percent of voters say they will cast their ballot for independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and 7 percent say they aren’t sure who they would vote for if the election were held today.

Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) also leads his Republican challenger, David McCormick.


The survey found that Casey has a 5-point lead over McCormick. If the election was held today, 47 percent of respondents said they would vote for Casey, while 42 percent said they’d vote for McCormick, and 10 percent are not sure.

The survey found 50 percent of respondents said they were highly enthusiastic about the upcoming presidential election.

Harris’s campaign has generated excitement among Democrats but also raised concerns for vulnerable Senate Democrats, including Casey, who have been pressed by their GOP challengers about some of the vice president’s controversial policy stances.

The survey was conducted July 22-28 among 600 likely voters in Pennsylvania. Harris’s results put her within the survey’s 4 percent margin of error.

Although polling is still early after the Biden-Harris shake-up, it has generally proved to be good news for Harris, since she’s polling better than Biden did in swing states such as Pennsylvania, but experts are saying the race is still very much up in the air.

The Hill/Decision Desk HQ puts Pennsylvania as a “toss up.” Currently, Trump leads with 57 percent to Harris’s 43 percent, the polling averages show.