Americans split on whether Trump, Harris favored to win in November: Survey

Americans are evenly divided on whether former President Trump or Vice President Harris are favored to win the presidential race in November, according to a new poll.

The survey from The Economist/YouGov found that 40 percent of Americans believe Trump will win the race, and the same percentage think Harris will win. Another 20 percent said they were not sure, according to the poll results.

Among registered voters, 44 percent said they believed Harris would win, and 40 percent said they think Trump would win. Sixteen percent said they were not sure, according to the poll.

The poll found that voters overwhelmingly believe that their party’s likely presidential candidate will win in November. Nearly 80 percent of Democrats said Harris will win, while 83 percent of Republicans said Trump will win.

Independent voters were about evenly split, with 33 percent saying Trump will win, 32 percent saying Harris will win and 35 percent saying they were not sure.

Harris has a 2-point lead over Trump among registered voters, according to the poll. Forty-six percent said they would support Harris, 44 percent said they would back Trump and 3 percent said they would vote for independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

The poll also found that 53 percent of registered voters would consider voting for Harris, while 48 percent said the same of Trump. Fifty-two percent said they would not consider voting for Trump, while 47 percent said the same for Harris.

Harris has gained momentum in national and swing-state polling since launching her bid for the White House last month. According to The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s national polling average, Harris has a 1.6 percentage point lead over Trump based on 115 polls.

The new poll was conducted among 1,567 U.S. adults Aug. 11-13 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.