Vice President Harris boasts a wide 14-point lead over former President Trump in the blue bastion of New York, new polling shows, roughly double the edge President Biden held there earlier this year.
A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill/WPIX survey in the Empire State found 54 percent of voters behind Harris, and just 40 percent behind Trump. Another 3 percent support someone else, and 3 percent are undecided.
Back in May, the pollster found Biden leading Trump by 7 points in New York, with 48 percent to 41 percent.
The former president’s support hasn’t changed much in the months since the May survey. The share of undecided voters, on the other hand, has fallen dramatically from 12 percent to just 3 percent, breaking for Harris.
Another big shift has shown up among independents, who broke for Trump back in May, but have since shifted to favor Harris.
The new poll comes as Trump has been homing in on New York. Though he’s not likely to come close to flipping the deep-blue state, the former president’s campaign visits could help rally New York Republicans and protect a handful of House incumbents whose races could decide control of the lower chamber this fall.
First-term GOP Reps. Mike Lawler, Anthony D’Esposito, Marc Molinaro and Brandon Williams are all defending New York seats that Democrats have eyed as prime pickup opportunities in their fight to take back the House.
Nationally, Harris boasts a 4-point edge over Trump, according to the latest polling aggregation from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill. DDHQ’s forecast has Harris all but assured to win the Empire State in November’s presidential race.
Meanwhile, New York City Mayor Eric Adams (D) is embroiled in controversy and facing federal corruption charges, according to an indictment unsealed this week. He’s rejected calls to resign even as some New York Democrats, including Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D), have pressed him to step aside, adding drama to the Empire State just weeks out from Election Day. Adams is notably up for reelection next year.
The Emerson College Polling New York survey was conducted Sep. 23-25 among 1,000 likely voters and has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error, of plus or minus 3 percentage points.