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Harris, Trump locked in tight races in Michigan, Wisconsin: Survey

by Filip Timotija - 09/28/24 9:10 AM ET

Vice President Harris and former President Trump are locked in tight races in the battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin with less than 40 days before the election, new polling shows.

The survey, published Saturday from The New York Times/Siena College, shows Harris leading Trump by 1 point in Michigan, 48 percent to 47 percent, among the state’s likely voters. She also had a 2-point advantage over the GOP nominee in Wisconsin, garnering 49 percent support to the former president’s 47 percent. Both narrow leads were within the survey’s margin of error.

In both states, the economy was the top issue for likely voters, with 24 percent in Michigan and 28 percent in Wisconsin, saying so. Abortion and immigration also ranked high, according to the poll.

Voters in Michigan, Wisconsin and Ohio — another state including in the survey — said they trust Trump more to tackle the economy. The former president brought in 55 percent support to Harris’s 42 percent on the issue.

The vice president, however, had the advantage on the issue of abortion and reproductive rights. Harris holds a 20-point lead over Trump in Michigan, and a 13-point lead in Wisconsin, on the issue, the survey found.

The Democratic nominee holds a 3-point lead in the Great Lakes State, 50 percent to 47 percent, according to a recent Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. The same survey found that Harris had the same-sized lead in Wisconsin, 51 percent to the GOP nominee’s 48 percent.

Other recent polling from Wisconsin Watch/MassINC Polling Group, released Monday, found that Harris edging the former president out by 7-points in the Badger State, getting 53 percent to the former president’s 46 percent.

Currently, Harris has a 2 percent lead, 49.8 percent to 47.8 percent, in Wisconsin, according to the latest The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s (DDHQ) aggregate of polls. The vice president also has a 1.2 percent lead, 48.9 percent to 47.7 percent, in Michigan, the survey index shows.

The Times/Siena poll was conducted Sept. 21-26 among 688 likely voters in Michigan and 680 likely voters in Wisconsin. The margin of error was 4 percentage points for each survey, but it was 2.5 percentage points when three polls were combined.