Former President Trump edged out his general election opponent, Vice President Harris, by 2 points in a new Pennsylvania survey.
Trump had a 2-point advantage, 49 percent support to 47 percent, among likely Pennsylvania voters, according to an InsiderAdvantage state poll released Tuesday. Some 2 percent of respondents picked another candidate while the other 2 percent were undecided. The ex-president’s lead was within the survey’s margin of error.
“Donald Trump appears to be gaining momentum in Pennsylvania with his numbers among independent, senior, and African American voters increasing or holding steady,” InsiderAdvantage pollster Matt Towery said in his brief analysis. “It appears that Harris’s support from African American males is actually deteriorating a bit.”
“This race continues to remain very close with turnout and enthusiasm remaining important,” Towery added. “The Democrats enjoy a slight advantage with regard to enthusiasm at this point, although the gap has narrowed.”
The poll comes less than 30 days before Election Day and as both candidates look to secure the Keystone State’s 19 Electoral College votes. President Biden won the state in 2020 by just more than 1 percentage point.
Last week’s poll from Emerson College Polling/RealClearPennsylvania found the candidates tied at 48 percent support in Pennsylvania. An AARP survey from last week found Harris with a 2-point lead, 49 percent support to 47 percent, over the ex-president in Pennsylvania.
The vice president currently has a 0.3 percentage point lead, 48.8 percent to 48.5 percent, over Trump in Pennsylvania, according to The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s state polling average.
The InsiderAdvantage survey was conducted Oct. 7-8 among 800 likely Keystone State voters. The margin of error was 3.46 percentage points.