Harris edges Trump by 4 points in head-to-head match-up: Survey

Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump by 4 points nationally in a head-to-head match-up, a new survey found.

The poll, released Wednesday by YouGov, found Harris has 51 percent support to Trump’s 47 percent in a two-way race among registered voters. Another 2 percent said they were still undecided, with the election less than three weeks away.

YouGov noted little has changed in recent weeks, and the race remains close.

Among likely voters, Harris is leading among college graduates, women, Black voters and Hispanic American voters. Trump is leading among non-college graduates, men and white American voters, the survey shows.

The Democratic nominee also has the edge with independents. Roughly 46 percent of independent voters back the vice president, while 42 percent say they will vote for the former president. About 12 percent of independents say they are not sure or say they don’t plan to vote, the poll found.

With early voting already underway in several states, 89 percent of Harris’s supporters approve of voting by mail while just 27 percent of Trump’s supporters approve the measure.

In the wake of the 2020 presidential election legal challenges and the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol, uneasiness surrounding the upcoming election is showing among partisan lines.

Trump supporters say they are more concerned about the fairness of the voting process than Harris’s supporters. Just 16 percent of the GOP nominee’s supporters say they think their ballot will be counted fairly in November.

Most Americans say they expect mass protests after the election, no matter who the winner is.

Around 56 percent of all respondents say they expect there to be mass protests if the vice president wins the election. Nearly the same amount, 57 percent, believe mass protests will occur if the former president wins.

The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s polling index also shows a tight race between the party nominees. The latest national tally shows Harris with 49.7 percent support to Trump’s 47 percent.

The YouGov survey was conducted Oct. 12-15 among 1,624 Americans and has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.