Harris up by 1 point over Trump in Pennsylvania survey

Vice President Harris and former President Trump are neck and neck among likely voters in Pennsylvania, according to a University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion and YouGov poll released Thursday.

Harris leads Trump 46 percent to 45 percent in the key battleground state, which both candidates see as critical to clinching the presidency. No other candidate in the survey receives more than 1 percent support from respondents, while 6 percent say they are undecided.

“With less than three weeks until Election Day, the race in Pennsylvania is essentially tied,” said Rodrigo Castro Cornejo, associate director for the Center for Public Opinion and an assistant professor, in a statement.

“It is increasingly clear the election will be decided by the candidate who is able to successfully mobilize their voters Nov. 5 and during the early voting period,” he added.

The poll represents little change from late last month, when the same survey found likely Pennsylvania voters favor Harris over Trump by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent.

In the poll released this week, Harris leads Trump among women, 49 percent to 40 percent, while 8 percent say they are undecided. Trump, meanwhile, leads Harris by 11 points among men, while 3 percent remain undecided.

Voters in Pennsylvania, ages 18-44 prefer Harris to Trump by 17 points. Among voters aged 45-64, Trump leads Harris by 13 points. Older adults are roughly split, with 48 percent supporting Trump and 45 percent supporting Harris.

Independents signal they support Trump over Harris, 37 percent to 32 percent, but 24 percent of them say they remain undecided.  

Less than three weeks ahead of the presidential election, the race appears to be a toss-up between the two candidates, who each have a narrow path to winning.

According to the latest Pennsylvania polling average from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill, the two candidates are nearly tied, with Harris leading Trump 48.6 percent to 48.3 percent.

The poll was conducted Oct. 2-9 and included 800 likely voters in Pennsylvania. Its margin of error is 3.97 percentage points.