Campaign

Harris holds slim leads in 4 swing states, Trump polling ahead in 2 others

With about two weeks left before Election Day, Vice President Harris holds slim leads over former President Trump in four critical battleground states, while the Republican is slightly ahead in two others, polling released Monday found.

The survey, conducted by the Washington Post-Schar School, asked voters in the seven swing states that will help determine the winner of the election.

Among likely voters, the vice president leads in Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Trump enjoys advantages in Arizona and North Carolina. The two candidates are tied with 48 percent support apiece in Nevada.

Harris is leading in Georgia, 51 percent to Trump’s 47 percent. The Peach State narrowly went to President Biden in the 2020 election, and Harris has spent a lot of her late-launched campaign in the state.

The survey found she is also leading in Wisconsin, with 50 percent to Trump’s 47 percent, and tops the former president in Michigan by 2 percentage points. The Democratic governors of the two states, Wisconsin’s Tony Evers and Michigan’s Gretchen Whitmer, have been on the campaign trail to help elect Harris.


Both candidates are vying for Pennsylvania’s coveted 19 electoral votes in what is expected to be one of the country’s closest states. Harris currently leads there, 49 percent to Trump’s 47 percent.

Arizona is a key Southwestern state that narrowly went to Biden in 2020. With immigration at a major concern of this election, Trump has focused his time on winning back the state this cycle and currently leads Harris 49 percent to her 46 percent, according to the poll.

Trump also leads in North Carolina, 50 percent to Harris’s 47 percent; both candidates will make visits to North Carolina after the western region of the state was hit hard by Hurricane Helene.

According to The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Harris has a 1.5 percentage point lead over Trump based on an aggregation of polls.

The Washington Post survey was conducted between Sept. 29 and Oct. 15 among 5,016 voters in the seven swing states and has a margin of error of 1.7 percentage points.