Harris leads Trump by 4 points in new tracking survey

Vice President Harris leads her opponent, former President Trump, by 4 points in a new tracking survey that was released on Tuesday. 

Harris holds a 4-point lead over Trump, 50 percent to 46 percent, among likely voters with less than two weeks before Election Day, according to Morning Consult’s tracking poll. Two percent sided with another option while another 2 percent did not have an opinion. 

The vice president had the same lead among independents, outpacing the Republican nominee 47 percent to 43 percent. Around 7 percent didn’t know who they would likely pick while another 4 percent sided with a different option, according to the survey.

Among younger voters, ages 18 to 34, the Democratic nominee holds an 8-point lead, 52 percent to Trump’s 44 percent. Around 3 percent had no opinion while just 1 percent said they would back someone else, the survey showed.

The survey found that both candidates had strong support from their party’s base. 

Trump’s popularity has ticked up since last month, according to Morning Consult’s analysis. Their polling found that likely voters are just 5 points more likely to see the GOP nominee in a negative than positive light. 

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll, released on Tuesday, found Harris leading Trump by 3 points nationally, 46 percent to 43 percent. A survey, conducted by the Washington Post-Schar School,  had Harris ahead in four swing states, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Trump led the way in North Carolina and Arizona. The White House candidates were tied in Nevada at 48 percent each. 

Trump overtook Harris in The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s (DDHQ) election forecast for the first time over the weekend, giving the former president a 52 percent chance of winning the White House. Harris’s chances were at 48 percent. 

Harris currently has a 0.9 percent lead, 48.6 percent to 47.7 percent, according to the latest The Hill/DDHQ’s tally of polls. 

The Morning Consult survey was conducted Oct.18-20 among 8,570 likely voters. The unweighted margin of error was 1 percentage point.