Harris entered the race with polls showing Biden severely trailing rival Trump, and she sailed on a wave of what pundits called “good vibes.”
But the polling data tracked by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ national average analysis shows that while Harris got a big jump when she entered the race, it hasn’t really held.
Trump was ahead 48 percent to 45.7 percent when Biden bowed out.
The presidential race now has narrowed to a historically slim margin, with Harris gaining little leverage since her sharp foray into the race.
Here are some of the signs that Trump is now seeing the surge, with less than two weeks until election day:
-
The polling average on Sept. 23 showed Harris at 50 percent to Trump’s 45.6 percent.
- She has maintained her lead but is grasping. It’s now at 48.7 percent to 47.7 percent, according to the latest polling — obviously within the margin of error.
-
Polls further show the race is razor-thin in all of the key battleground states that likely will determine the outcome.
The former president has been making his way through North Carolina and other swing states, and the vice president’s campaign has gone all out bringing out big name celebrities like Eminem and former President Obama.
Despite some blunders and crude remarks — including about former golfers’ endowments — Trump continues to be the “Teflon Don.” The polls show he hasn’t lost ground.
Meanwhile, Harris’s rare television interviews and other appearances have made little headway.
She received mixed reviews for a CNN town hall Wednesday, fielding questions from voters in the crucial state of Pennsylvania.
CNN’s polling expert Harry Enten said this week that he believes a sweep of the main battleground states is “more likely than not,” even as polls show all seven of the big swing states almost even between Harris and Trump.
“For all the talk that we’ve had about this election being historically close, which it is, chances are the winner will still actually score a relative blowout in the Electoral College,” Enten said.