Morning Report — Post-debate: What’s next for Harris, Trump?

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Two days after Vice President Harris and former President Trump faced off in their first presidential debate, one question looms large: Will it move the needle?

Pollsters have characterized the race as one of the closest presidential contests in history, with both candidates zeroing in on key swing states and the undecided and independent voters who could tip the election in their favor. 

More than 67 million people tuned in to Tuesday’s debate on ABC News, according to Nielsen ratings. That total audience figure is 10 million more than watched the debate between Trump and President Biden in May. A CNN flash poll after the debate showed that watchers said 63 percent to 37 percent that Harris turned in a better performance onstage in Philadelphia. 

But whether Trump’s and Harris’s performances swayed voters remains to be seen. 

Democrats are riding high after what they saw as a forceful, controlled debate performance. And while Harris was widely seen by pundits and media outlets as dominating the debate, some undecided voters remained unconvinced that the vice president was the better candidate. Voters interviewed by The New York Times told the paper they were glad Harris has a tax and economic plan, but they want to know how it can become law in a polarized Washington.

“She tried a couple times to say, ‘I want to do this and I want to do that,’ and that’s nice promises,” said Sharon Reed, a retired teacher and undecided voter in Pennsylvania. “I hope she can get them through Congress.”

Reuters: Some undecided voters were not convinced by Harris after the debate. 

The Washington Post: Who won the debate, according to a group of undecided voters.

Republicans, meanwhile, are pointing fingers and blame after Trump — who called his performance “our best debate ever” — fell into traps set by his opponent and struggled to drive home his campaign’s message. They hammered the ABC News moderators, accusing the outlet of disproportionately fact-checking his responses compared to Harris. But some took issue with Trump’s advisers, arguing he was ill-prepared, while others said it was the candidate himself who fell short.

“He missed opportunities to hurt her,” one Republican strategist said. “But it was much lower stakes for him.”

The New York Times: Trump assailed ABC News, but he’s not thrilled with Fox News, either.

The Hill: Trump elevated a number of conspiracy theories during the debate, embracing false claims largely circulated by the far right. 

BBC: What the world thought of the Trump-Harris debate.

Senate Republicans came away from Tuesday’s debate disappointed, and fear Trump’s angry rants will be what undecided voters take away from the evening. North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis (R) told reporters he thinks the debate likely pushed some undecided suburban voters in his home state, a key battleground, toward Harris, though he predicted that most voters have already made up their minds in the election.

“I think you may have a few coming out, particularly [in the] female demographic, that’s lean-Harris now,” he said. “I believe we missed a lot of opportunities [Tuesday] night.”

“The Julie Mason Show” on SiriusXM: Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.): On policy, “Trump wins” — it’s his demeanor that is a challenge for some voters.

The question now is whether Trump and Harris should schedule a second debate. After turning in a strong performance Tuesday, Harris’s team wasted no time calling for a second debate. However, The Hill’s Al Weaver and Alex Gangitano write that a second meeting would raise expectations. While Trump has signaled he may not be up for a rematch, some Republicans believe he could use another bite at the apple. 

Democrats were downright giddy in the aftermath — and want to see it happen again.

“I’d certainly enjoy watching a repeat,” Sen. Peter Welch (D-Vt.) said with a laugh and a smile. “It was a wonder to behold. She was so confident and down to earth and in command.” 


3 THINGS TO KNOW TODAY:

▪ 💡More women chose surgery known as tubal ligation to prevent pregnancy after Roe v. Wade was overturned in 2022, and the largest increase appeared in states that ban abortions, a new study reveals.

▪ 🔗 The government’s statutorily required preparations to transition from one administration to the next launched last week with a White House communication to agencies and departments. The General Services Administration explained last month how it plays a key role with transition teams assembled by both presidential candidates to follow statutory timelines before and after Election Day. 

▪ 🍔 Will the Golden Arches go cashierless? McDonald’s has been experimenting with checkout sans human assistance. Will fast food still be as fast? 


LEADING THE DAY

© The Associated Press / Yuki Iwamura | New York Gov. Kathy Hochul (D), Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.), Vice President Harris and President Biden chatted  Wednesday in New York City while attending a 9/11 Memorial ceremony.

POLITICS & CAMPAIGNS

NIGHT AND DAY: On the 23rd anniversary of a terror attack that drew the nation into war and tragedy for decades, Biden, Harris and Trump greeted one another Wednesday in New York City, where they shook hands and paused for respectful silence at the 9/11 Memorial. Just hours before, the vice president and former president pummeled one another during the debate in Philadelphia. Harris suggested to viewers that she, not Trump, would be the most reliable next commander-in-chief and a patriot (The Washington Post).

Both major parties are targeting under-the-radar congressional pickup opportunities while forecasts suggest their chances of winning the lower chamber are close to 50-50. Here are seven potential sleeper races to watch this fall: Senate contests in Nebraska, Florida and Texas; gubernatorial races in Washington and New Hampshire and contests in Pennsylvania’s District 10 and Iowa District 01 (The Hill).

During Tuesday’s debate, Harris played up her support for oil and gas while limiting her public enthusiasm for tackling climate change, a tack to the center. 


2024 Roundup:

Trump schedule: The former president today will deliver a campaign speech in Tucson, Ariz., and will speak at a fundraiser in Los Angeles. On Friday morning, Trump will hold a media event at Trump National Golf Course in Los Angeles. He scheduled a rally Friday in Las Vegas.

Harris schedule: The vice president will campaign today in North Carolina with stops in Charlotte at 3:40 p.m. ET and Greensboro at 6:50 p.m. ET. On Friday, she will take her campaign to Johnstown, Pa., and Wilkes-Barre, Pa. VP candidate and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D) has two campaign events today in Grand Rapids, Mich. On Friday, he’ll headline events in Lansing, Mich., and Wausau, Wis. On Saturday, Walz will appear in Duluth, Minn., and Superior, Wis. 

▪ Harris plans to do local media interviews with outlets in battleground states in the coming days. She is also expected to participate in a sit-down with the National Association of Black Journalists (NABJ) next week.

Entertainment icon Taylor Swift, who shared a link on Instagram Tuesday after endorsing Harris, stoked a stampede of 337,000 visitors to vote.gov by Wednesday, the General Services Administration told The Hill

▪ “We admire Taylor Swift’s music, but I don’t think most Americans … are going to be influenced by a billionaire celebrity who I think is fundamentally disconnected from the interests and the problems of most Americans,” Trump running mate Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio) told Fox News on Wednesday. (Say what? Trump touts his endorsement from billionaire Elon Musk.)

▪ Young voters: There’s a gap in voter participation among community college students compared with four-year college students. In a nonpartisan effort, participating companies joined forces to try to increase by 500,000 the number of young community college students who participate by the 2028 election. The Community College Commitment initiative was launched in April by Levi Strauss & Co., Lyft and SHOWTIME/MTV Entertainment Studios.


WHERE AND WHEN

The House meets at 9 a.m.

The Senate is in session at 10 a.m.

The president will receive the President’s Daily Brief at 10 a.m. Biden will mark the 30th anniversary of the enactment of the Violence Against Women Act, accompanied by first lady Jill Biden, at 5:45 p.m. on the South Lawn.  

The White House daily press briefing is scheduled at 2:30 p.m. 

Secretary of State Antony Blinken is in Warsaw, Poland, where he meets today with Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski, President Andrzej Duda, and joins Sikorski for an afternoon joint press conference.


ZOOM IN

© The Associated Press / Jose Luis Magana | Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) on Wednesday pulled legislation that would fund the government through March because of GOP divisions in the House.

CONGRESS   

FUNDING WOES: House GOP leadership scrapped plans Wednesday for a vote on the party’s stopgap funding plan as its chances of passage sank in recent days amid opposition from defense hawks, hard-line conservatives and moderates. Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) had vowed all week to press forward with a vote on his funding plan — which pairs a six-month continuing resolution with a bill backed by Trump that would require proof of citizenship to vote — even as it became clear he did not have the votes to pass it.

The move by Johnson catapults House GOP leadership back to square one, now needing to craft a conservative stopgap that could pass the House and, in turn, increase the party’s leverage in negotiations with Senate Democrats. Congress has until Sept. 30 to fund the government and avert a shutdown (The Hill).

The Hill: Republicans push for a clean stopgap as leaders regroup on a plan to avert a government shutdown.

Politico: Is there a House Plan B? A Senate Plan A?


ELSEWHERE

© The Associated Press / Mark Schiefelbein | Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and British Foreign Secretary David Lammy on Wednesday in Kyiv.

INTERNATIONAL 

UKRAINE AID: Secretary of State Antony Blinken made a rare Wednesday wartime visit to Kyiv where he announced $700 million in aid to Ukraine. He offered a sympathetic ear to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who is mounting a push to win permission to use long-range U.S. missile systems to strike deep into Russia, despite being rejected last week by Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. Kyiv’s attempt to sway the Biden administration comes as Ukraine has faced heavy bombardment from Russia in recent days — especially on its power sector (The Hill and The Washington Post).

Politico: The White House is finalizing a plan to ease some restrictions on how Ukraine can use U.S.-donated weapons and better protect itself from Russian missiles.

The Guardian analysis: Any decision to let Kyiv fire Western missiles at Russia could have a dramatic impact and must be carefully calibrated.

ABC News: Russian President Vladimir Putin received a red-carpet welcome to Mongolia as the country ignored calls to arrest him on an international warrant for alleged war crimes stemming from Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

CEASE-FIRE TALKS: Qatar’s Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani and the director of Egyptian intelligence Abbas Kamel met Hamas negotiators today to try to break the deadlock in the hostage and cease-fire talks, Axios reports. The White House, meanwhile, has been reassessing its strategy for a deal as they debate whether there is a point in presenting a new proposal as Hamas and Israel both take tougher positions in negotiations.

The New York Times: An Israeli airstrike on a United Nations school in Gaza sheltering displaced Palestinians killed at least 14 people, including women, children and U.N. employees.

The Washington Post: New video and witnesses challenge Israel’s account of a U.S. activist’s killing in the West Bank.


OPINION 

Not even winning Pennsylvania can justify this bad move on U.S. Steel, by The Washington Post editorial board.

A ranked-choice voting farce in Alaska, by The Wall Street Journal editorial board.


THE CLOSER 

© The Associated Press / Richard Drew | Several presidents counted on Frank Sinatra’s endorsements over the years.

Take Our Morning Report Quiz

And finally … ⭐ It’s Thursday, which means it’s time for this week’s Morning Report Quiz! Inspired by superstars throwing their weight behind candidates, we’re eager for some smart guesses about celebrity presidential endorsements.

Be sure to email your responses to asimendinger@digital-staging.thehill.com and kkarisch@digital-staging.thehill.com — please add “Quiz” to your subject line. Winners who submit correct answers will enjoy some richly deserved newsletter fame on Friday.

After Tuesday’s presidential debate, Harris received the endorsement of which self-professed “childless cat lady” and global pop phenomenon?

  1. Beyoncé
  2. Lady Gaga
  3. Taylor Swift
  4. Sheryl Crow

Trump, now the recipient of celebrity endorsements, endorsed a Democratic primary candidate in 2008. Who was it?

  1. Barack Obama
  2. Hillary Clinton
  3. Evan Bayh
  4. Joe Biden

Former President Obama benefited from what celebrity endorsement during his 2008 campaign?

  1. Michael Jackson
  2. Tom Cruise
  3. Justin Timberlake
  4. Oprah Winfrey

Which of these presidents did not receive an endorsement from singer Frank Sinatra?

  1. Gerald Ford
  2. Franklin D. Roosevelt
  3. Ronald Reagan
  4. John F. Kennedy

Stay Engaged

We want to hear from you! Email: Alexis Simendinger (asimendinger@digital-staging.thehill.com) and Kristina Karisch (kkarisch@digital-staging.thehill.com). Follow us on social media platform X: (@asimendinger and @kristinakarisch) and suggest this newsletter to friends!

Tags Antony Blinken Donald Trump Elon Musk JD Vance Joe Biden Kamala Harris Lloyd Austin Mike Johnson Peter Welch Rand Paul Taylor Swift Tim Walz Vladimir Putin Volodymyr Zelensky

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