Harris slips in national survey, now leads Trump by 3 points

Vice President Harris has slipped slightly in new Reuters/Ipsos polling, now leading former President Trump among registered voters by a slim 3-point margin as Election Day draws closer. 

The poll, released Tuesday, found Harris at 46 percent to Trump’s 43 percent among registered voters nationally, a narrower edge than the 6-point lead she had late last month. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. 

Her lead was also down among likely voters, slipping to 47 percent to 45 percent. That moves the race among likely voters from a 6-point Harris edge in September to a statistical tie this month, the pollster noted.

Harris has led her Republican rival in each of the six Reuters/Ipsos polls taken since she joined the race this summer.

The latest poll found voters preferred Trump’s approach on a range of economic issues, including the cost of living and taxes, and suggested he got a boost from concerns over immigration. Voters were more likely to trust that Harris was “mentally sharp and able to deal with challenges.”

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The findings fall in line with other surveys showing a slim edge for Harris nationally, indicating a razor-tight race roughly a month out from Election Day.

The latest polling averages from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill show Harris with a 3-point lead across the country, but the rivals are separated by a fraction of a percentage point in key battlegrounds like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. A forecast model gives Harris a 53 percent chance of winning.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted Oct. 4-7 among 1,272 U.S. adults. Among those surveyed, 1,076 were registered voters and 969 were considered most likely to turn out. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.8 percentage points for the full sample, 3.1 points for registered voters and 3.2 points for likely voters.