Slotkin, Rogers tied in Michigan Senate survey

Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D) and former Rep. Mike Rogers (R) are tied in a new survey as they vie for retiring Sen. Debbie Stabenow’s (D) seat in the upper chamber. 

The Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the Great Lakes State found the Senate candidates tied with 48 percent support apiece. The tie suggests a tightening of the race, after the same pollster found Slotkin up by 5 points in September. 

Democrats in the Michigan poll overwhelmingly favored Slotkin, while around 9 in 10 Republicans backed Rogers. Independents in the poll were evenly split, with 48 percent behind either candidate. 

The Michigan race could be key to deciding control of the Senate this fall. It’s one of just three Senate races rated “toss-ups” by the Cook Political Report, and polling averages from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ give Slotkin a lead of roughly 4 points. 

At the top of the ticket, the presidential race is also tight, with 47 percent behind Vice President Harris and 50 percent backing former President Trump, according to the Quinnipiac survey.

Slotkin and Rogers faced off Tuesday night in their first debate this cycle, sparring over their records in Congress and clashing over foreign policy, immigration and manufacturing.

Slotkin is leaving her House seat open to run for the Senate seat, and is endorsed by Stabenow. Rogers, who served in the House from 2001-15, is running with former President Trump’s backing. 

The poll was conducted Oct. 3-9 among 1,007 likely voters in Michigan and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.