Alsobrooks holds wide lead over Hogan in Maryland Senate race: Poll

Democrat Angela Alsobrooks boasts a wide 14-point lead over Republican former Gov. Larry Hogan in a new poll of the Maryland Senate race, with less than two weeks until Election Day. 

Alsobrooks, the Prince George’s County executive, pulled in 54 percent support among likely Maryland voters, compared to Hogan’s 40 percent, according to a survey from Emerson College Polling/DC News Now/The Hill. Another 6 percent were undecided. 

The new results show a 5-point uptick in support for Alsobrooks since September, while support for Hogan dropped 2 points.

Alsobrooks has a “commanding” 27-point advantage among Maryland female voters, Emerson College Polling executive director Spencer Kimball noted. That’s an increase from an 18-point lead among the same demographic last month. 

Hogan, on the other hand, has just a 1-point edge among male voters in the state, Kimball said. 

Several recent polls have shown Alsobrooks with a substantial lead over Hogan, the popular former GOP governor whose entry into the race gave Republicans hope for an upset in the blue state. His candidacy shifted The Cook Political Report’s rating away from Democrats earlier this year and he’s since kept the race competitive, but it’s stayed a “likely Democratic” seat, according to Cook.  

The latest polling averages of the Senate race from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill give Alsobrooks an edge of nearly 10 points, and a Decision Desk HQ forecast has her all but assured to win. She would replace outgoing Democrat Sen. Ben Cardin, keeping the seat in the Democrats’ column.

Meanwhile, Vice President Harris has an even clearer lead in the presidential race in the state, according to the new poll. She’s has the support of 63 percent of Maryland voters, compared to 33 percent who back former President Trump. 

The Emerson College Polling Maryland survey was conducted Oct. 19-21 among 865 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.