On The Money — Democrats dig in with Biden agenda in the balance

Happy Monday and welcome to On The Money, your nightly guide to everything affecting your bills, bank account and bottom line. Subscribe here: digital-staging.thehill.com/newsletter-signup.

Today’s Big Deal: The standoff between progressives and moderates is deepening with hours until a potential infrastructure vote. We’ll also look at an averted government shutdown and Janet Yellen’s call to abolish the debt ceiling.

But first, we’re already getting hyped about the Super Bowl halftime show.

For The Hill, I’m Sylvan Lane. Write me at slane@digital-staging.thehill.com or @SylvanLane. You can reach my colleagues on the Finance team Naomi Jagoda at njagoda@digital-staging.thehill.com or @NJagoda and Aris Folley at afolley@digital-staging.thehill.com or @ArisFolley.

Let’s get to it.

Democratic factions dig in, threatening fate of infrastructure vote 

The warring factions of the Democratic Party are digging in on their competing positions surrounding President Biden’s domestic agenda, raising the prospect that a bipartisan infrastructure bill will fail if it hits the House floor on Thursday.

The internal stalemate is raising new questions about whether Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) will punt again on a vote that was originally scheduled for Monday

• Pelosi huddled in her Capitol office Thursday afternoon with three of the caucus’s major blocs: the Blue Dogs, the Progressive Caucus and the New Democrats. 
• Each faction emerged asserting their previously held demands — the same entrenched dynamics that created the infrastructure impasse.

The state of play: Moderate Democrats are still insisting on immediate passage of the $1.2 trillion Senate-passed infrastructure bill, arguing the need for a bipartisan victory on a major piece of Biden’s wishlist. But progressives are also sticking with their position, demanding that a pair of Senate centrists — Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) — commit to supporting a larger social benefits package before House liberals vote to send the infrastructure bill to Biden’s desk.

What comes next: House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (Md.) said the House is unlikely to vote on anything, if it does vote at all, before 9 p.m. tonight. 

Mike Lillis, Scott Wong and Cristina Marcos have the latest here.

Manchin says his spending limit is $1.5 trillion: Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) announced Thursday that his top-line spending number for the budget reconciliation package is $1.5 trillion, far below the $3.5 trillion spending goal set by the budget resolution that he and every other Senate Democrat voted for last month.

“My top-line has been $1.5 [trillion],” he said, explaining that he doesn’t want “to change our whole society to an entitlement mentality.”

Manchin also said that he had shared his figure with President Biden. But several of his Democratic colleagues said that wasn’t nearly enough.

• “It will be changed,” Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin (Ill.) said, adding of the $1.5 trillion figure: “I don’t know where that came from.”
• “I think it’s problematic,” said Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.). “We’ll see where it goes.” 
• Sen. Mazie Hirono (D-Hawaii) added that she is open to going below $3.5 trillion but called Manchin’s figure “pretty sad.”

Senate Budget Committee Chairman Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) argued there’s support from Biden and 48 members of the Senate Democratic caucus to “go forward on a major reconciliation, reconciliation bill.” 

“That is what we have got to do,” Sanders said. “So Mr. Manchin has his view on the subject, I have another view which is that $3.5 trillion is actually a conservative number … and I’m going to do my best to fight for that.”

Jordain Carney fills us in here.

LEADING THE DAY

House sends bill to Biden to avert government shutdown at midnight

In less gridlocked news, The House on Thursday passed legislation to prevent a government shutdown with only hours to spare before the midnight deadline, albeit without any measure to avert a debt default in a few weeks.

Lawmakers voted 254-175 to send the bill, which keeps the federal government funded through Dec. 3, to President Biden for his signature. Thirty-four Republicans voted with all Democrats in support of the bill. 

How it came together: 

• The House last week passed the same bill along party lines, but with a provision that suspended the debt limit until mid-December of next year. 
• The Senate failed to advance the original House-passed bill on Monday due to Republicans’ insistence that they will not vote to prevent a debt default.

• Faced with the prospect of a government shutdown amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Democrats ultimately opted to detach the debt limit suspension from the government funding bill.

Here’s more from Cristina Marcos.

DEBT ON ARRIVAL

Yellen calls for ‘very destructive’ debt limit to be abolished

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Thursday she supports abolishing the federal debt limit, calling it a “very destructive” threat to the full faith and credit of the U.S.

In congressional testimony, Yellen argued it made no sense to limit the Treasury’s ability to pay bills already approved by Congress and the president with an arbitrary cap on how much debt it can issue.

“When Congress legislates expenditures and puts in place tax policy that determines taxes, those are the crucial decisions Congress is making,” Yellen said during a hearing before the House Financial Services Committee, where she appeared beside Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

“And, if to finance those spending and tax decisions, it’s necessary to issue additional debt, I believe it’s very destructive to the president and myself, the Treasury secretary, in the situation where we might be unable to pay the bills that result from those past decisions.”

I have more here.

IT’S FUN TO VOTE ON THE C-F-P-B

Senate confirms Chopra to lead Consumer Financial Protection Bureau

The Senate on Wednesday confirmed Rohit Chopra as director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), approving a fierce critic of the financial sector to lead a powerful agency overseeing it.

Senators voted 50-48 along party lines to confirm Chopra, with all 50 Democratic senators and no Republicans supporting his nomination.

GOP Sens. John Cornyn (Texas) and Rand Paul (Ky.) did not vote.

Meet Rohit: Chopra, a Federal Trade Commissioner since 2018, has vowed to drastically increase the consequences financial firms face for harming their customers and tighten regulations loosened under the leadership of Trump-appointed leaders. 

His mission to turn the CFPB back into the crusading watchdog envisioned by the agency’s architect, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), won over Democrats while costing him the support of every Republican senator.

I break it down here.

Good to Know 

New applications for jobless benefits rose for the third consecutive week after the expiration of federal pandemic unemployment aid earlier this month, according to data released Thursday by the Labor Department.

Here’s what else have our eye on:

• The U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 6.7 percent in the second quarter of 2021, slightly faster than a previous government estimate, according to data released from the Commerce Department on Thursday.
• Senators pressed a Facebook executive Thursday over the company’s impact on kids’ safety, kicking off a series of hearings set to continue next week when senators will hear from a company whistleblower.

That’s it for today. Thanks for reading and check out The Hill’s Finance page for the latest news and coverage. We’ll see you tomorrow.